Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

388.96 – 710.34

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

406 – 432

Prediction correct · off by 147.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 841 ±9.3

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 103.54Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 197.7Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 87.72Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 865.9 ±9.3

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 327.32Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 191.65Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 191.37Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2468, 1918, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

389 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2468, 1918, 484

Auto

77.9 20%

Teleop

222.0 58%

Endgame

85.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1706, 1720, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

710.3 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1706, 1720, 5907

Auto

141.6 20%

Teleop

375.4 53%

Endgame

188.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.28 · Blue 3.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score389pts

Blue projected score710.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 42%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -321.4
Score range: 294–805
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 838 vs event baseline 529.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

841Season APEX865.9

77.9Auto141.6

222Teleop375.4

85.2Endgame188.3

179Consistency163

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	112
teleop	175	247
endgame	149	73
foul	0	0
total	406	432

Result

Final score

406 – 432

Prediction correct · off by 147.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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