Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

280.91 – 477.84

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

243 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460 ±9.8

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 77.05Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 100.62Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 103.24Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633.6 ±9.8

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 204.27Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 177.19Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 96.38Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 11415, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.9 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1741, 11415, 45

Auto

114.1 39%

Teleop

123.4 43%

Endgame

51.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6517, 1833, 2377

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.8 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6517, 1833, 2377

Auto

122.5 26%

Teleop

216.5 46%

Endgame

134.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score280.9pts

Blue projected score477.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196.9
Score range: 185–574
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 642 vs event baseline 534.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460Season APEX633.6

114.1Auto122.5

123.4Teleop216.5

51.7Endgame134.9

192Consistency202

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	164
teleop	125	206
endgame	85	29
foul	0	0
total	243	399

Result

Final score

243 – 399

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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