Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

625.19 – 375.71

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

703 – 318

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 760.7 ±10.4

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 256.81Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 243.2Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 125.18Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443.7 ±9.8

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 130.16Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 57.73Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 187.82Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4028, 1706, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

625.2 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4028, 1706, 3940

Auto

117.6 19%

Teleop

329.5 53%

Endgame

174.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6721, 2377, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

375.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6721, 2377, 1023

Auto

81.6 22%

Teleop

208.8 56%

Endgame

85.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.19 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score625.2pts

Blue projected score375.7pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 249.5
Score range: 277–724
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1021 vs event baseline 548.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

760.7Season APEX443.7

117.6Auto81.6

329.5Teleop208.8

174.5Endgame85.2

166Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	131	106
teleop	391	164
endgame	181	48
foul	0	0
total	703	318

Result

Final score

703 – 318

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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