Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

335.4 – 487.39

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

455 – 518

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500 ±9.8

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 92.15Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 221.29Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 21.96Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 828.8 ±8.7

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 167.75Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 204.96Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 114.68Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3176, 1792, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.4 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3176, 1792, 6721

Auto

59.5 18%

Teleop

189.2 57%

Endgame

80.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3641, 9032, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

487.4 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3641, 9032, 4499

Auto

87.4 18%

Teleop

277.2 57%

Endgame

123.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.51 · Blue 2.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score335.4pts

Blue projected score487.4pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 81%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -152
Score range: 238–584
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 973 vs event baseline 536.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500Season APEX828.8

59.5Auto87.4

189.2Teleop277.2

80.6Endgame123.3

166Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	107
teleop	291	317
endgame	117	94
foul	0	0
total	455	518

Result

Final score

455 – 518

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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