Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

382.43 – 607.44

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

522 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 91.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 731.8 ±8.7

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 1.01Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 226.66Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 154.76Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 946.5 ±8.1

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 188.21Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 185.72Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 233.51Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 234, 10021, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 234, 10021, 5907

Auto

71.4 19%

Teleop

193.5 51%

Endgame

116.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1023, 27, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

607.4 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1023, 27, 1987

Auto

98.1 16%

Teleop

348.5 57%

Endgame

165.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.1 · Blue 3.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score382.4pts

Blue projected score607.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -225
Score range: 286–703
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 1086 vs event baseline 531.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

731.8Season APEX946.5

71.4Auto98.1

193.5Teleop348.5

116.5Endgame165.3

125Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	146
teleop	244	307
endgame	158	111
foul	0	0
total	522	564

Result

Final score

522 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 91.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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