Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

465.57 – 680.16

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

655 – 908

Prediction correct · off by 208.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 780 ±8.8

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 54.5Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 285.83Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 125.24Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1098.6 ±8.8

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 284.35Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 214.44Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 181.37Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7890, 1706, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

465.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7890, 1706, 7457

Auto

137.7 30%

Teleop

223.8 48%

Endgame

105.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2481, 2056, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

680.2 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2481, 2056, 1768

Auto

139.3 20%

Teleop

380.1 56%

Endgame

163.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 3.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score465.6pts

Blue projected score680.2pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -214.6
Score range: 372–774
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1563 vs event baseline 524.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

780Season APEX1098.6

137.7Auto139.3

223.8Teleop380.1

105.2Endgame163.6

188Consistency161

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	184
teleop	356	502
endgame	207	222
foul	0	0
total	655	908

Result

Final score

655 – 908

Prediction correct · off by 208.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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