Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

435.75 – 242.88

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 98.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.9 ±8.7

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 120.17Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 195.43Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 120.15Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 735.7 ±9.3

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 41.9Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 18.76Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 182.22Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5000, 1720, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

435.8 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5000, 1720, 930

Auto

119.3 28%

Teleop

257.3 60%

Endgame

53.8 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 6721, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 484, 6721, 1987

Auto

88.3 36%

Teleop

145.0 59%

Endgame

11.1 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.06 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score435.8pts

Blue projected score242.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 49%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.9
Score range: 148–531
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 875 vs event baseline 527.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

779.9Season APEX735.7

119.3Auto88.3

257.3Teleop145

53.8Endgame11.1

192Consistency180

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	60
teleop	290	231
endgame	83	116
foul	5	0
total	468	407

Result

Final score

468 – 407

Prediction correct · off by 98.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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