Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

519.68 – 410.18

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

772 – 527

Prediction correct · off by 184.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 909.7 ±9.3

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 243.29Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 56.65Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 219.74Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 683.2 ±9.3

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 92.73Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 120.83Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 196.62Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1706, 195, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

519.7 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1706, 195, 67

Auto

114.1 22%

Teleop

322.9 63%

Endgame

75.7 15%

Strengths

· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7890, 9401, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

410.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7890, 9401, 1024

Auto

36.9 9%

Teleop

190.9 47%

Endgame

181.2 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.85 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score519.7pts

Blue projected score410.2pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 64%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.5
Score range: 316–614
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1299 vs event baseline 524.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

909.7Season APEX683.2

114.1Auto36.9

322.9Teleop190.9

75.7Endgame181.2

238Consistency176

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	92
teleop	382	256
endgame	257	179
foul	0	0
total	772	527

Result

Final score

772 – 527

Prediction correct · off by 184.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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