Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

803.13 – 536.17

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

798 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1050.6 ±8.1

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 300.48Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 284.59Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 218.06Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649 ±9.8

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 252.1Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 136.62Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 147.45Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8044, 5687, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

803.1 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8044, 5687, 27

Auto

167.4 21%

Teleop

417.5 53%

Endgame

209.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 67, 6517, 3176

/ 100 compat

Projected

536.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 67, 6517, 3176

Auto

122.2 23%

Teleop

296.2 56%

Endgame

113.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.15 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score803.1pts

Blue projected score536.2pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 55%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 267
Score range: 437–902
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1354 vs event baseline 548.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1050.6Season APEX649

167.4Auto122.2

417.5Teleop296.2

209.3Endgame113.1

157Consistency178

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	98
teleop	494	296
endgame	171	147
foul	0	15
total	798	556

Result

Final score

798 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 12.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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