Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

363.81 – 472.46

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

359 – 545

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.4 ±9.3

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 92.47Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 165.97Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 105.37Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 763.5 ±8.8

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 96.17Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 236.04Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 140.25Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3414, 1023, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3414, 1023, 8085

Auto

108.9 30%

Teleop

194.1 53%

Endgame

60.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 45%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11415, 359, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

472.5 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11415, 359, 2468

Auto

87.1 18%

Teleop

249.4 53%

Endgame

136.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 45%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.67 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score363.8pts

Blue projected score472.5pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.6
Score range: 269–567
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 904 vs event baseline 527.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.4Season APEX763.5

108.9Auto87.1

194.1Teleop249.4

60.4Endgame136.3

210Consistency221

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	111
teleop	174	348
endgame	90	86
foul	0	0
total	359	545

Result

Final score

359 – 545

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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