Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

443.15 – 450.32

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

564 – 373

Prediction missed · off by 99.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 825.6 ±9.3

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 147.97Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 127.82Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 167.36Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535.4 ±9.3

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 42.85Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 121.91Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 285.56Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 1833, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

443.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2767, 1833, 1918

Auto

60.4 14%

Teleop

257.0 59%

Endgame

120.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 234, 3176, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.3 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 234, 3176, 1732

Auto

58.1 13%

Teleop

259.1 58%

Endgame

128.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score443.2pts

Blue projected score450.3pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.2
Score range: 348–545
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 937 vs event baseline 529.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

825.6Season APEX535.4

60.4Auto58.1

257Teleop259.1

120.8Endgame128.6

182Consistency205

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	149	55
teleop	327	215
endgame	88	103
foul	0	0
total	564	373

Result

Final score

564 – 373

Prediction missed · off by 99.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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