Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

440.8 – 565.28

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

672 – 863

Prediction correct · off by 264.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 861.1 ±8.1

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 165.96Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 118.4Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 156.44Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 882.8 ±9.3

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 215.72Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 188.08Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 161.48Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1792, 1768, 8608

/ 100 compat

Projected

440.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1792, 1768, 8608

Auto

52.3 12%

Teleop

218.7 49%

Endgame

173.1 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5687, 4028, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

565.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5687, 4028, 10021

Auto

107.1 19%

Teleop

297.1 52%

Endgame

163.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.6 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score440.8pts

Blue projected score565.3pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.5
Score range: 347–659
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1535 vs event baseline 520.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

861.1Season APEX882.8

52.3Auto107.1

218.7Teleop297.1

173.1Endgame163.3

198Consistency199

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	132	184
teleop	352	458
endgame	188	221
foul	0	0
total	672	863

Result

Final score

672 – 863

Prediction correct · off by 264.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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