Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

377.8 – 312.7

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

499 – 503

Prediction missed · off by 155.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 645.4 ±9.4

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 129.71Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 166.01Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 82.08Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 614.4 ±9.3

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 172.98Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX -15.69Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 155.41Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2377, 7457, 9401

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.8 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2377, 7457, 9401

Auto

42.4 11%

Teleop

139.1 37%

Endgame

197.3 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 67, 6721, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 67, 6721, 1720

Auto

53.4 18%

Teleop

197.6 66%

Endgame

49.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.54 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score377.8pts

Blue projected score312.7pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 65.1
Score range: 220–471
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 1002 vs event baseline 515.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

645.4Season APEX614.4

42.4Auto53.4

139.1Teleop197.6

197.3Endgame49.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	131
teleop	225	249
endgame	172	108
foul	5	15
total	499	503

Result

Final score

499 – 503

Prediction missed · off by 155.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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