Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.36 – 415.64

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

565 – 574

Prediction correct · off by 274.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.5 ±9.8

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 34.46Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 7.23Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 132.67Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 842.9 ±9.3

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 109.56Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 115.96Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 190.12Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5000, 11415, 6517

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5000, 11415, 6517

Auto

40.9 24%

Teleop

86.3 50%

Endgame

43.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 469, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.6 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1002, 469, 1706

Auto

92.4 22%

Teleop

234.1 57%

Endgame

87.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.3 · Blue 3.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.4pts

Blue projected score415.6pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 47%, blue 54%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.3
Score range: 82–508
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 1139 vs event baseline 513.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.5Season APEX842.9

40.9Auto92.4

86.3Teleop234.1

43.9Endgame87.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	142
teleop	304	339
endgame	131	93
foul	0	0
total	565	574

Result

Final score

565 – 574

Prediction correct · off by 274.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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