Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

348.77 – 343.44

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

544 – 444

Prediction correct · off by 147.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.2 ±9.3

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 271.27Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 53.76Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 23.74Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 595.1 ±9.3

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 175.17Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 157.95Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 10.32Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1261, 4499, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1261, 4499, 45

Auto

61.9 18%

Teleop

191.4 54%

Endgame

98.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1918, 1023, 234

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1918, 1023, 234

Auto

62.1 18%

Teleop

208.4 61%

Endgame

71.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.3 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score348.8pts

Blue projected score343.4pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.3
Score range: 250–442
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 988 vs event baseline 514.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.2Season APEX595.1

61.9Auto62.1

191.4Teleop208.4

98.7Endgame71.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	124	63
teleop	238	238
endgame	182	143
foul	0	0
total	544	444

Result

Final score

544 – 444

Prediction correct · off by 147.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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