Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

523.57 – 513.97

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

351 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 183.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 756.4 ±9.3

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 153.65Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 174.86Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 195.06Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 903 ±9.3

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 190.02Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 166.51Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 157.44Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4143, 7890, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

523.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4143, 7890, 1833

Auto

118.8 23%

Teleop

297.7 57%

Endgame

101.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9401, 5000, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

514 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9401, 5000, 2468

Auto

104.0 20%

Teleop

267.0 52%

Endgame

143.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.34 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score523.6pts

Blue projected score514pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.6
Score range: 415–623
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 548.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

756.4Season APEX903

118.8Auto104

297.7Teleop267

101.6Endgame143.4

188Consistency147

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	58
teleop	199	150
endgame	36	111
foul	0	0
total	351	319

Result

Final score

351 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 183.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.