Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

367.74 – 578.74

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

542 – 708

Prediction correct · off by 151.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.8 ±8.7

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 141.36Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 64.81Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 161.57Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 849.3 ±8.7

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 133.7Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 198.34Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 246.7Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 7890, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.7 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9032, 7890, 1987

Auto

102.4 27%

Teleop

189.6 51%

Endgame

81.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5712, 3641, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

578.7 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5712, 3641, 8044

Auto

105.5 18%

Teleop

326.3 57%

Endgame

142.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.45 · Blue 3.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score367.7pts

Blue projected score578.7pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 55%, blue 57%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -211
Score range: 277–670
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1250 vs event baseline 507.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.8Season APEX849.3

102.4Auto105.5

189.6Teleop326.3

81.6Endgame142.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	132
teleop	288	454
endgame	131	122
foul	0	0
total	542	708

Result

Final score

542 – 708

Prediction correct · off by 151.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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