Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
535.25 – 537.32
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
549 – 659
Prediction correct · off by 67.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.4 ±8.7
Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 169.88Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 208.2Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 300Event APEX 157.17Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 742 ±8.8
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 122.39Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 215.74Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 199.19Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1833, 1024, 8608
73
/ 100 compatProjected
535.3 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1833, 1024, 8608
Auto
119.9 22%
Teleop
288.3 54%
Endgame
126.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 51%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5907, 3940, 359
72
/ 100 compatProjected
537.3 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5907, 3940, 359
Auto
104.0 19%
Teleop
280.9 52%
Endgame
157.4 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 51%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.26 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score535.3pts
Blue projected score537.3pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 45%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2.1
- Score range
- 445–627
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
832.4Season APEX742
119.9Auto104
288.3Teleop280.9
126.7Endgame157.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 100 | 100 |
| teleop | 286 | 381 |
| endgame | 163 | 178 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 549 | 659 |
Result
Final score
549 – 659
Prediction correct · off by 67.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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