Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.08 – 161.28

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 468

Prediction missed · off by 210.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.3 ±9.3

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 112.97Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 50.73Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 26.38Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 856.2 ±8.7

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 13.32Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 77.8Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 70.16Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4499, 234, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4499, 234, 6721

Auto

47.1 25%

Teleop

113.3 59%

Endgame

30.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2468, 195, 469

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.3 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2468, 195, 469

Auto

48.2 29%

Teleop

99.1 60%

Endgame

16.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.16 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score190.1pts

Blue projected score161.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 49%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.8
Score range: 68–283
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 544 vs event baseline 515.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.3Season APEX856.2

47.1Auto48.2

113.3Teleop99.1

30.7Endgame16.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	120
teleop	52	241
endgame	12	107
foul	0	0
total	76	468

Result

Final score

76 – 468

Prediction missed · off by 210.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.