Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

292.41 – 332.13

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

605 – 501

Prediction missed · off by 240.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 828.9 ±8.7

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 71.69Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 181.41Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 39.31Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 764.6 ±8.1

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 100.57Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 72.3Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 159.26Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1023, 1732, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.4 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1023, 1732, 5000

Auto

40.5 14%

Teleop

160.5 55%

Endgame

91.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1792, 5712, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1792, 5712, 7457

Auto

60.1 18%

Teleop

212.2 64%

Endgame

58.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score292.4pts

Blue projected score332.1pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.7
Score range: 199–425
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1106 vs event baseline 519.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

828.9Season APEX764.6

40.5Auto60.1

160.5Teleop212.2

91.2Endgame58.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	87
teleop	371	230
endgame	115	184
foul	0	0
total	605	501

Result

Final score

605 – 501

Prediction missed · off by 240.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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