Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

315.82 – 389.57

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

547 – 456

Prediction missed · off by 148.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 854.3 ±8.7

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 85.14Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 131.54Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 99.14Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.7 ±9.8

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 190.08Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 85.14Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 114.35Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 67, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5907, 67, 930

Auto

70.8 23%

Teleop

185.7 60%

Endgame

54.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 48%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3940, 45, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.6 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 45, 9032

Auto

106.9 27%

Teleop

217.6 56%

Endgame

65.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 48%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.7 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score315.8pts

Blue projected score389.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.7
Score range: 222–484
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1003 vs event baseline 520.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

854.3Season APEX517.7

70.8Auto106.9

185.7Teleop217.6

54.1Endgame65.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	74
teleop	300	223
endgame	125	159
foul	0	0
total	547	456

Result

Final score

547 – 456

Prediction missed · off by 148.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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