Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

565.21 – 326.58

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

616 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 806.7 ±9.3

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 88.73Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 298.66Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 177.82Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.1 ±8.1

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 76.79Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 266.42Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX -16.63Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 2481, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

565.2 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1741, 2481, 9032

Auto

98.3 17%

Teleop

299.7 53%

Endgame

163.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 1768, 234

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 484, 1768, 234

Auto

63.2 19%

Teleop

151.0 46%

Endgame

114.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 42%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.02 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score565.2pts

Blue projected score326.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.6
Score range: 228–664
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 878 vs event baseline 548.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

806.7Season APEX728.1

98.3Auto63.2

299.7Teleop151

163.8Endgame114.7

168Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	146	51
teleop	327	109
endgame	143	102
foul	0	0
total	616	262

Result

Final score

616 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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