Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

814.42 – 683.8

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

841 – 797

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1115 ±8.8

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 216.82Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 297.98Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 299.62Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1044.6 ±8.7

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 156.37Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 280.36Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 247.07Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 2481, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

814.4 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 2481, 8044

Auto

148.7 18%

Teleop

443.1 55%

Endgame

216.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5907, 5687, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

683.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5907, 5687, 2056

Auto

178.4 26%

Teleop

371.8 54%

Endgame

132.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.87 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score814.4pts

Blue projected score683.8pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.6
Score range: 586–912
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1638 vs event baseline 544.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1115Season APEX1044.6

148.7Auto178.4

443.1Teleop371.8

216.3Endgame132.3

142Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	125	190
teleop	373	421
endgame	328	186
foul	15	0
total	841	797

Result

Final score

841 – 797

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 pts

Match videos

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