Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

815.01 – 713.01

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

798 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 120 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1115 ±8.8

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 217.77Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 297.69Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 299.55Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1044.6 ±8.7

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 256.81Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 289.95Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 166.25Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 2481, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

815 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 2481, 8044

Auto

145.3 18%

Teleop

447.2 55%

Endgame

215.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2056, 5687, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

713 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2056, 5687, 5907

Auto

183.2 26%

Teleop

393.7 55%

Endgame

134.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.76 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score815pts

Blue projected score713pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102
Score range: 615–913
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 1288 vs event baseline 543.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1115Season APEX1044.6

145.3Auto183.2

447.2Teleop393.7

215.1Endgame134.7

142Consistency146

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	165	148
teleop	411	225
endgame	222	117
foul	0	0
total	798	490

Result

Final score

798 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 120 pts

Match videos

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