Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
215.01 – 108.43
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
213 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 106.4Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 1.78Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 106.83Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 12.55Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 35.34Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 60.54Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 234, 7198, 3940
82
/ 100 compatProjected
215 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 234, 7198, 3940
Auto
36.1 17%
Teleop
112.4 53%
Endgame
63.9 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3559, 5188, 4926
55
/ 100 compatProjected
108.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3559, 5188, 4926
Auto
29.5 28%
Teleop
58.7 56%
Endgame
15.8 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score215pts
Blue projected score108.4pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 106.6
- Score range
- 82–241
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
295.5Season APEX211.3
36.1Auto29.5
112.4Teleop58.7
63.9Endgame15.8
35Consistency86
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 27 |
| teleop | 113 | 5 |
| endgame | 81 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 213 | 37 |
Result
Final score
213 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts
Match videos
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