Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
76.76 – 133.73
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
139 – 135
Prediction missed · off by 31.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 64Event APEX 27.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 7.68Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 41.71Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 3.73Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 48.86Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 81.14Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5484, 5188, 7617
53
/ 100 compatProjected
76.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5484, 5188, 7617
Auto
13.2 17%
Teleop
38.6 50%
Endgame
25.8 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7657, 9790, 868
71
/ 100 compatProjected
133.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7657, 9790, 868
Auto
23.0 17%
Teleop
69.2 53%
Endgame
39.4 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.8pts
Blue projected score133.7pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -57
- Score range
- 54–157
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.8Season APEX320.8
13.2Auto23
38.6Teleop69.2
25.8Endgame39.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 7 |
| teleop | 73 | 53 |
| endgame | 32 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 139 | 135 |
Result
Final score
139 – 135
Prediction missed · off by 31.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.