Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
111.2 – 134.86
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
173 – 63
Prediction missed · off by 66.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 4.61Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 20.46Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99Event APEX 86.13Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 15.42Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 15.13Rank 25Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 104.31Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3559, 5188, 8116
59
/ 100 compatProjected
111.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3559, 5188, 8116
Auto
24.0 22%
Teleop
58.1 53%
Endgame
27.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9790, 9453, 761
63
/ 100 compatProjected
134.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9790, 9453, 761
Auto
22.8 18%
Teleop
79.6 62%
Endgame
26.7 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score111.2pts
Blue projected score134.9pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample132alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -23.7
- Score range
- 86–160
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197.8Season APEX281.7
24Auto22.8
58.1Teleop79.6
27.9Endgame26.7
78Consistency110
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 18 |
| teleop | 119 | 14 |
| endgame | 31 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 173 | 63 |
Result
Final score
173 – 63
Prediction missed · off by 66.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.