FIN District Washington Event presented by Toyota IN & VU CARA

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

147.13 – 182.15

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 37 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.4 ±12.4

8742Argyll Attack

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 30.17Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX 8.03Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 108.93Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402 ±9.8

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 77.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 80.06Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 24.53Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8742, 10029, 761

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8742, 10029, 761

Auto

19.5 13%

Teleop

88.3 60%

Endgame

39.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 447, 868, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 447, 868, 9491

Auto

27.2 15%

Teleop

101.3 57%

Endgame

47.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.1pts

Blue projected score182.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35
Score range: 122–207
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 140.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.4Season APEX402

19.5Auto27.2

88.3Teleop101.3

39.8Endgame47.7

66Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	34
teleop	89	133
endgame	7	53
foul	0	0
total	111	220

Result

Final score

111 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 37 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.