FIN District Washington Event presented by Toyota IN & VU CARA

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.69 – 59.35

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 11.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.8 ±11.2

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 41.16Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 81.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2197Las Pumas

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 4.27Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±12.8

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 2.92Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8742Argyll Attack

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 33.14Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 23.29Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7617, 8116, 2197

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7617, 8116, 2197

Auto

31.2 25%

Teleop

60.6 48%

Endgame

35.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3559, 8742, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3559, 8742, 9491

Auto

14.9 22%

Teleop

39.6 60%

Endgame

11.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.7pts

Blue projected score59.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.3
Score range: 34–152
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 141.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.8Season APEX160.1

31.2Auto14.9

60.6Teleop39.6

35.1Endgame11.8

119Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	14
teleop	81	12
endgame	46	2
foul	0	30
total	149	58

Result

Final score

149 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 11.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.