FIN District Washington Event presented by Toyota IN & VU CARA

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.7 – 88.08

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 140

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 157 ±13.9

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 45.7Event APEX 21.2Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 91.8Event APEX 62.17Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2197Las Pumas

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 32.33Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 121.2 ±13.9

9790Crypto Creek II

Season APEX 15.3Event APEX 43.85Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8742Argyll Attack

Season APEX 28.6Event APEX 20.88Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6498Castle Robotics

Season APEX 77.3Event APEX 23.35Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.6
Score range: 66–138
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157Season APEX121.2

17Auto16.2

59.5Teleop31.9

37.6Endgame34.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	29
teleop	67	89
endgame	42	22
foul	0	0
total	136	140

Result

Final score

136 – 140

Prediction missed · score err 36.1

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)