FIN District Washington Event presented by Toyota IN & VU CARA

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.76 – 213.71

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

242 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.2 ±9.3

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 110.01Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7657Thunderbots

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 28.98Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 91.77Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.5 ±10.5

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 105.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7198Fearsome Gears

Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 1.42Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 106.57Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 761, 7657, 868

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 761, 7657, 868

Auto

24.9 11%

Teleop

127.9 56%

Endgame

74.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 234, 7198, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 234, 7198, 3940

Auto

36.0 17%

Teleop

113.8 54%

Endgame

61.9 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score230.8pts

Blue projected score213.7pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample132alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17
Score range: 187–258
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 461 vs event baseline 148.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.2Season APEX295.5

24.9Auto36

127.9Teleop113.8

74.6Endgame61.9

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	57
teleop	127	122
endgame	36	25
foul	30	15
total	242	219

Result

Final score

242 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.