Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
236.12 – 151.97
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
254 – 183
Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.9 ±8.8
Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 98.71Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 32.84Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 104.57Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 31.69Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 70.02Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219Event APEX 50.26Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7457, 2867, 4272
80
/ 100 compatProjected
236.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7457, 2867, 4272
Auto
34.1 15%
Teleop
136.3 60%
Endgame
57.9 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 71, 461, 5010
66
/ 100 compatProjected
152 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 71, 461, 5010
Auto
23.8 17%
Teleop
89.8 62%
Endgame
30.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score236.1pts
Blue projected score152pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 84.2
- Score range
- 129–259
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
596.9Season APEX414.3
34.1Auto23.8
136.3Teleop89.8
57.9Endgame30.4
16Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 25 |
| teleop | 134 | 95 |
| endgame | 66 | 53 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 254 | 183 |
Result
Final score
254 – 183
Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts
Match videos
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