Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.5 – 206.03

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 409.3 ±9.8

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 9Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 142.5Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 148Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±10.4

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 90.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 40.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 75.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10434, 3940, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 3940, 1501

Auto

73.7 25%

Teleop

156.6 53%

Endgame

63.0 21%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 447, 45, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

206 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 447, 45, 829

Auto

38.3 19%

Teleop

124.1 61%

Endgame

41.1 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score299.5pts

Blue projected score206pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.5
Score range: 183–323
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 128.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

409.3Season APEX323

73.7Auto38.3

156.6Teleop124.1

63Endgame41.1

25Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	33
teleop	164	68
endgame	89	70
foul	0	0
total	337	171

Result

Final score

337 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Match videos

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