Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.87 – 138.41

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.1 ±10.4

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 49.82Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 30.78Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 35.27Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.5 ±9.3

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 72.77Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 15.11Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 50.53Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9431, 6721, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 6721, 9119

Auto

23.0 21%

Teleop

56.9 52%

Endgame

29.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3176, 135, 3494

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3176, 135, 3494

Auto

18.3 14%

Teleop

82.6 65%

Endgame

26.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score115.9pts

Blue projected score138.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -22.5
Score range: 93–161
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

286.1Season APEX419.5

23Auto18.3

56.9Teleop82.6

29.1Endgame26.6

1Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	41
teleop	45	76
endgame	13	0
foul	10	0
total	106	117

Result

Final score

106 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts

Match videos

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