Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.04 – 130.04

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.9 ±8.8

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 94.9Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 98.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 29.19Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.1 ±10.4

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 54.75Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 35.23Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 40.06Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 4272, 2867

/ 100 compat

Projected

223 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 4272, 2867

Auto

33.2 15%

Teleop

126.9 59%

Endgame

55.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9431, 6721, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

130 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 6721, 9119

Auto

22.7 19%

Teleop

65.5 53%

Endgame

34.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score223pts

Blue projected score130pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93
Score range: 107–246
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.9Season APEX286.1

33.2Auto22.7

126.9Teleop65.5

55Endgame34.5

33Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	26
teleop	173	25
endgame	73	9
foul	5	5
total	293	65

Result

Final score

293 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 pts

Match videos

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