Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.48 – 209.9

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

171 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.6 ±10.5

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 69.18Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 64.39Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 15.91Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±10.4

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 91.47Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 41.66Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 76.77Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 5402, 3147

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 5402, 3147

Auto

40.9 29%

Teleop

79.9 57%

Endgame

18.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 447, 45, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 447, 45, 829

Auto

37.4 18%

Teleop

127.3 61%

Endgame

42.3 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score149.5pts

Blue projected score209.9pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.4
Score range: 126–233
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 126.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.6Season APEX323

40.9Auto37.4

79.9Teleop127.3

18.2Endgame42.3

53Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	45
teleop	69	119
endgame	54	39
foul	15	0
total	171	203

Result

Final score

171 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.