Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

293.68 – 205.28

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 409.3 ±9.8

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 7.11Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 140.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 146.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±10.4

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 89.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 75.08Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 40.48Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10434, 3940, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 3940, 1501

Auto

75.1 26%

Teleop

145.9 51%

Endgame

66.4 23%

Strengths

· 1501 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 447, 829, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 447, 829, 45

Auto

34.5 17%

Teleop

115.1 57%

Endgame

51.1 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score293.7pts

Blue projected score205.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.4
Score range: 181–318
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 133.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

409.3Season APEX323

75.1Auto34.5

145.9Teleop115.1

66.4Endgame51.1

25Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	25
teleop	124	92
endgame	59	61
foul	0	5
total	257	183

Result

Final score

257 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Match videos

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