Qualification · Qualification 75
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
48.2 – 220.24
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 8.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 33Event APEX 7.5Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 25.67Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 15.03Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 138.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64Event APEX 40.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 41.12Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7477, 71, 9530
30
/ 100 compatProjected
48.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7477, 71, 9530
Auto
19.9 41%
Teleop
26.3 55%
Endgame
1.8 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3940, 5484, 9119
85
/ 100 compatProjected
220.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3940, 5484, 9119
Auto
42.3 19%
Teleop
125.2 56%
Endgame
54.9 25%
Strengths
- · 3940 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score48.2pts
Blue projected score220.2pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -172
- Score range
- 26–242
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
121.1Season APEX290.5
19.9Auto42.3
26.3Teleop125.2
1.8Endgame54.9
31Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 48 |
| teleop | 23 | 97 |
| endgame | 10 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 213 |
Result
Final score
39 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 8.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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