Qualification · Qualification 74
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
61.36 – 54
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
73 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 7.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 48Event APEX 2.92Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 55.63Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 2.81Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 11.04Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 17.21Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 25.75Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10434, 9431, 9071
37
/ 100 compatProjected
61.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10434, 9431, 9071
Auto
17.8 32%
Teleop
19.3 34%
Endgame
19.1 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10332, 3865, 8103
38
/ 100 compatProjected
54 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10332, 3865, 8103
Auto
13.1 26%
Teleop
21.5 42%
Endgame
16.4 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score61.4pts
Blue projected score54pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.4
- Score range
- 32–83
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
181.6Season APEX161.9
17.8Auto13.1
19.3Teleop21.5
19.1Endgame16.4
33Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 12 |
| teleop | 32 | 27 |
| endgame | 14 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 73 | 51 |
Result
Final score
73 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 7.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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