Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.8 – 129.69

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.7 ±11.7

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 1.46Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2197Las Pumas

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 7.2Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9453Mount Vernon Wildcats

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 7.14Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.5 ±11.7

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 76.27Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 32.63Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 20.79Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 135, 2197, 9453

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 135, 2197, 9453

Auto

11.6 100%

Teleop

-12.3 0%

Endgame

6.5 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 829, 2867, 10411

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 829, 2867, 10411

Auto

25.3 20%

Teleop

66.0 52%

Endgame

35.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.8pts

Blue projected score129.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.9
Score range: -6–152
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 124.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.7Season APEX251.5

11.6Auto25.3

-12.3Teleop66

6.5Endgame35.9

86Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	26
teleop	38	72
endgame	49	32
foul	5	0
total	106	130

Result

Final score

106 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 45.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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