Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

278.48 – 79.48

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

236 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 39 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±9.4

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 74.21Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 94.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 109.77Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.2 ±11.2

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 0.24Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 40.75Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 38.49Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3176, 447, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3176, 447, 7457

Auto

35.4 13%

Teleop

186.6 69%

Endgame

48.1 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9071, 45, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9071, 45, 5010

Auto

20.8 27%

Teleop

37.1 48%

Endgame

20.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score278.5pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199
Score range: 57–300
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 123.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.8Season APEX374.2

35.4Auto20.8

186.6Teleop37.1

48.1Endgame20.2

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	25
teleop	127	61
endgame	69	9
foul	15	20
total	236	115

Result

Final score

236 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 39 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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