Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.54 – 59.27

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 106

Prediction missed · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.9 ±15.3

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 28.67Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 12.87Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3936RoboBlitz 3936

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 24Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±11.7

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 16.52Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 0.41Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 42.34Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 71, 10332, 3936

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 71, 10332, 3936

Auto

30.3 46%

Teleop

26.7 41%

Endgame

8.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10411, 10434, 1646

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10411, 10434, 1646

Auto

15.9 33%

Teleop

20.0 42%

Endgame

11.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.5pts

Blue projected score59.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.3
Score range: 37–88
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 124.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.9Season APEX254.2

30.3Auto15.9

26.7Teleop20

8.8Endgame11.7

17Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	19	35
endgame	8	25
foul	10	25
total	47	106

Result

Final score

47 – 106

Prediction missed · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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