Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
110.43 – 177.62
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
136 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 15 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 13.93Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 34.07Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 62.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 138.66Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 7.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 31.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3865, 6721, 5402
48
/ 100 compatProjected
110.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3865, 6721, 5402
Auto
24.2 26%
Teleop
70.0 75%
Endgame
-1.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1501, 9453, 2867
82
/ 100 compatProjected
177.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1501, 9453, 2867
Auto
40.9 23%
Teleop
82.0 47%
Endgame
53.1 30%
Strengths
- · 1501 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score110.4pts
Blue projected score177.6pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -67.2
- Score range
- 88–200
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
302.1Season APEX343.1
24.2Auto40.9
70Teleop82
-1Endgame53.1
23Consistency37
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 51 |
| teleop | 74 | 72 |
| endgame | 49 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 136 | 182 |
Result
Final score
136 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 15 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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