Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.33 – 190.61

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.1 ±11.2

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX -3.08Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 35.6Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 59.81Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.6 ±10.5

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 88.98Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

447Team Roboto

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 88.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 13.05Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8432, 5484, 461

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8432, 5484, 461

Auto

21.0 24%

Teleop

39.8 45%

Endgame

27.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4272, 447, 3147

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4272, 447, 3147

Auto

30.2 16%

Teleop

111.8 60%

Endgame

43.4 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.3pts

Blue projected score190.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.3
Score range: 70–213
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 121.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.1Season APEX392.6

21Auto30.2

39.8Teleop111.8

27.1Endgame43.4

66Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	43
teleop	84	173
endgame	48	35
foul	5	10
total	152	261

Result

Final score

152 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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