Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.69 – 71.7

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 72 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425 ±11.2

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 140.78Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 83.83Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 7.08Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.2 ±11.7

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 8.68Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9554Portage Pythons

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 11Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 52.02Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 1024, 9071

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3940, 1024, 9071

Auto

49.8 22%

Teleop

133.0 58%

Endgame

46.5 20%

Strengths

· 3940 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10411, 9554, 3494

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10411, 9554, 3494

Auto

20.8 31%

Teleop

30.7 45%

Endgame

16.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.7pts

Blue projected score71.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160
Score range: 50–254
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 120.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425Season APEX303.2

49.8Auto20.8

133Teleop30.7

46.5Endgame16.4

73Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	10
teleop	69	73
endgame	47	44
foul	5	25
total	168	152

Result

Final score

168 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 72 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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