Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
37.39 – 53.33
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
55 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.6 ±14.9
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 23.01Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 48Event APEX 1.37Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 13.01Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 33Event APEX 7.07Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 45.24Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 1.02Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3936, 10434, 3865
26
/ 100 compatProjected
37.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3936, 10434, 3865
Auto
17.0 49%
Teleop
10.7 31%
Endgame
7.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7477, 9119, 135
36
/ 100 compatProjected
53.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7477, 9119, 135
Auto
8.0 16%
Teleop
33.5 68%
Endgame
8.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score37.4pts
Blue projected score53.3pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.9
- Score range
- 15–75
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
147.6Season APEX195.5
17Auto8
10.7Teleop33.5
7.1Endgame8
41Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 8 |
| teleop | 34 | 39 |
| endgame | 0 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 55 | 65 |
Result
Final score
55 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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