Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.22 – 190.66

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.6 ±11.7

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 30.39Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 47.94Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 38.89Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.9 ±10.8

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 111.03Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 14.06Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 65.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8431, 45, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8431, 45, 6721

Auto

26.6 26%

Teleop

57.1 55%

Endgame

19.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 10332, 5402

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 10332, 5402

Auto

38.8 21%

Teleop

117.7 63%

Endgame

30.3 16%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.2pts

Blue projected score190.7pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.4
Score range: 95–213
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 121.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.6Season APEX441.9

26.6Auto38.8

57.1Teleop117.7

19.7Endgame30.3

21Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	50
teleop	21	90
endgame	16	21
foul	20	30
total	80	191

Result

Final score

80 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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