Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.19 – 45.56

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.2 ±10.7

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 16.65Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 31.62Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 94.92Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.2 ±11.7

10029The Portotypes

Season APEX 21.3Event APEX -3.18Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9453Mount Vernon Wildcats

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 12.58Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 36.16Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3147, 71, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3147, 71, 7457

Auto

31.6 24%

Teleop

74.5 56%

Endgame

27.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10029, 9453, 5484

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10029, 9453, 5484

Auto

17.3 40%

Teleop

10.6 24%

Endgame

15.4 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.2pts

Blue projected score45.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.6
Score range: 21–168
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 136.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.2Season APEX127.2

31.6Auto17.3

74.5Teleop10.6

27.8Endgame15.4

1Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	20
teleop	83	11
endgame	15	5
foul	5	20
total	139	56

Result

Final score

139 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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