Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
246.29 – 62.42
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
215 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 89.65Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 143.68Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 12.96Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 25.38Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 8.51Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 28.53Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4272, 3940, 9453
87
/ 100 compatProjected
246.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4272, 3940, 9453
Auto
54.8 23%
Teleop
140.4 58%
Endgame
48.3 20%
Strengths
- · 3940 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8103, 9071, 328
38
/ 100 compatProjected
62.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8103, 9071, 328
Auto
14.0 21%
Teleop
42.0 64%
Endgame
9.3 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score246.3pts
Blue projected score62.4pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 183.9
- Score range
- 40–268
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
424.6Season APEX153.7
54.8Auto14
140.4Teleop42
48.3Endgame9.3
108Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 16 |
| teleop | 108 | 19 |
| endgame | 58 | 12 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 215 | 52 |
Result
Final score
215 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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