Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.41 – 88.29
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
126 – 97
Prediction missed · off by 25.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.9 ±13.5
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 40.71Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 18.58Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 219Event APEX 24.12Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 6.53Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 34.06Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 47.7Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9119, 3936, 5010
50
/ 100 compatProjected
83.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9119, 3936, 5010
Auto
15.3 19%
Teleop
44.2 54%
Endgame
22.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2197, 5484, 45
50
/ 100 compatProjected
88.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2197, 5484, 45
Auto
27.6 33%
Teleop
34.2 41%
Endgame
20.9 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.4pts
Blue projected score88.3pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -4.9
- Score range
- 61–110
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
338.9Season APEX207.7
15.3Auto27.6
44.2Teleop34.2
22.5Endgame20.9
17Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 20 |
| teleop | 65 | 28 |
| endgame | 25 | 49 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 126 | 97 |
Result
Final score
126 – 97
Prediction missed · off by 25.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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